Nick Allen’s Picks for the 84th Annual Academy Awards

Most organizations throw awkward parties when they’ve reached the end of their business year. At TheScorecardReview, we go bowling.

Created by our own Jeff Bayer, TSR supports a fun way of predicting the Best of the Best that doesn’t involve just circling a name on a sheet. It’s “Oscar Bowling,” and it works like this …

Pick your winners in all 24 categories. Then, give each winner a confidence score. Your most confident pick gets 24 points, second most confident gets 23 points, third most confident gets 22 points, and eventually your least confident pick gets 1 point.

Here are Jeff Bayer’s Oscar Picks

This is perfect for Oscar parties, because the lead keeps changing. The winner is the one with the most points at the end. A perfect score is 300. If there is a tie (there never is a tie), then the winner is the one with the most points in these three categories combined (Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress).

I’m ready for the movies of 2011 to be permanently in my rear view mirror. But as my last good bye, I’m going to nail these predictions (which includes cutting down Hugo and feeling pretty darn confident about The Artist). I didn’t win last year, (curse my hesitation to give Inception “Best Cinematography”!), but I will this time.

Here are my predictions … (cheat off this if you want to beat Jeff Bayer)

24 – Best Original Score – The Artist
23 – Best Picture – The Artist
22 – Best Supporting Actor – Christopher Plummer, Beginners
21 – Best Adapted Screenplay – The Descendants
20 – Best Supporting Actress – Octavia Spencer
19 – Best Achievement in Cinematography – Emmanuel Lubezki, The Tree of Life
18 – Best Original Screenplay – The Artist
17 – Best Animated Film – Rango
16 – Best Original Song – “Man or Muppet” from The Muppets
15 – Best Actress – Viola Davis, The Help
14 – Best Editing – The Descendants
13 – Best Art Direction – Hugo
12 – Best Make-Up – Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
11 – Best Foreign Film – A Separation
10 – Best Actor – Jean Dujardin, The Artist
09 – Best Sound Mixing – Hugo
08 – Best Sound Editing – Hugo
07 – Best Director – Michel Hazanavicius
06 – Best Costume Design – Hugo
05 – Best Visual Effects – Rise of the Planet of the Apes
04 – Best Documentary – Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
03 – Best Short Film, Live Action – The Shore
02 – Best Short Film, Animated – La Luna
01 – Best Documentary, Short Subjects – Incident in New Baghdad

Here are the nominations for the 2012 Academy Awards.

Best Picture
War Horse
The Artist
Moneyball
The Descendants
The Tree of Life
Midnight in Paris
The Help
Hugo
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

Best Actor
Demian Bichir (A Better Life)
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)

Best Actress
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Viola Davis (The Help)
Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)

Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Nick Nolte (Warrior)
Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)

Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
Jessica Chastain (The Help)
Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
Octavia Spencer (The Help)

Best Director
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)

Writing – Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants (Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon and Jim Rash)
Hugo (Screenplay by John Logan)
The Ides of March (Screenplay by George Clooney and Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon)
Moneyball (Screenplay by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin Story by Stan Chervin)
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (Screenplay by Bridget O’Connor and Peter Straughan)

Writing – Original Screenplay
The Artist (Written by Michel Hazanavicius)
Bridesmaids (Written by Annie Mumolo and Kristen Wiig)
Margin Call (Written by J.C. Chandor)
Midnight in Paris (Written by Woody Allen)
A Separation (Written by Asghar Farhadi)

Animated Feature Film
A Cat in Paris
Chico & Rita
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango

Documentary – Feature
Hell and Back Again
If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Pina
Undefeated

Foreign Language Film
Bullhead (Belgium)
Footnote (Israel)
In Darkness (Poland)
Monsieur Lazhar (Canada)
A Separation (Iran)

Cinematography
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Film Editing
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball

Music – Original Score
The Adventures of Tintin (John Williams)
The Artist (Ludovic Bource)
Hugo (Howard Shore)
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (Alberto Iglesias)
War Horse (John Williams)

Music – Original Song
“Man or Muppet” from The Muppets
“Real in Rio” from Rio

Sound Mixing
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Sound Editing
Drive
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Art Direction
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
War Horse

Visual Effects
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
Hugo
Real Steel
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon

Costumes
Anonymous
The Artist
Hugo
Jane Eyre
W.E.

Makeup
Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
The Iron Lady

Documentary – Short Subject
The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement
God Is the Bigger Elvis
Incident in New Baghdad
Saving Face
The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom

Short Film – Animated
Dimanche/Sunday (Patrick Doyon)
The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore (William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg)
La Luna (Enrico Casarosa)
A Morning Stroll (Grant Orchard and Sue Goffe)
Wild Life (Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby)

Short Film – Live Action
Pentecost (Peter McDonald and Eimear O’Kane)
Raju (Max Zähle and Stefan Gieren)
The Shore (Terry George and Oorlagh George)
Time Freak (Andrew Bowler and Gigi Causey)
Tuba Atlantic (Hallvar Witzo)

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