This is Jeff Bayer, and I don't update this site very often. If you'd like to listen to my current movie podcast you can find it at MovieBS.com.

Box Office Challenge: 'Contagion' vs. 'Warrior'

Box Office Challenge

What movie will be No. 1 at the box office?

Hitting the screens this weekend ...

Bucky Larson: Born to Be a Star Contagion Warrior

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There is a reason I omitted Bucky Larson: Born to Be a Star from the title of this post -- I feel it's a poor reflection of Hollywood, and even bigger, it's a poor reflection of society at large, that a film such as this is in wide release. Who did Nick Swardson sell his soul to, to be gifted with such an opportunity? Still, I'm not worried, as I predict Bucky will come in south of $4 million, and Swardson will likely never get an opportunity like this again. With Contagion and Warrior releasing simultaneously (both have been reviewed very well by the critics), I'd say Bucky is doomed to oblivion, right where the son-of-a-bitch deserves to be.

If Warrior hadn't been beat to the punch (hahaha) by The Fighter, I'd see it as having more potential, and with Steven Soderbergh at the helm of Contagion, with an all-star cast to push his tale, I see the latter as the dominant film at the box office this weekend.

Warrior should certainly come in second though -- heck, it does have a chance at first...

The world is pretty big, and there are a lot of folks out there busy populating it, so I guess it stands to reason that similar stories would crop up, even if they’re both insanely inspirational in their against-all-odds/too-good-to-be-true essence. I am, of course, nodding to the obvious similarities between last year’s (phenomenal) The Fighter and this year’s (lamely titled, IMO) Warrior. From what I’ve heard so far, the latter is also a good film, though it’s got its work cut out for it, if it wants to reign supreme over The Fighter. Both films are inspired by true events, and both hinge on brotherly love. Both feature broken families, and both feature attractive blue-collar girls standing in their underwear (in natural light) nagging their respective beaus to quit fighting already. I feel like Warrior could be a really good film, but I also feel like I’ve seen it before, yeah, like just last year, and Christian Bale won an Oscar or something? Yeah.

I was curious, so I did some digging and discovered there have been 13 major motion-pictures entitled The Fighter, and 8 major motion-pictures entitled Warrior. I suppose Warrior wins the battle for most original title then — kind of.

Back to Bucky Larson, I've got to vent a bit more here -- how the hell did this happen? I suppose the more appropriate question here is: Who the hell is Nick Swardson? My mind is screaming a million question marks. The movie poster for Bucky Larson makes me wish that Micky & Dicky and the Conlon Bros., all of ‘em, could magically interrupt Born to Be a Star, if only for moment — I can imagine four of the most impressive right hooks ever thrown in the history of cinema, all landing beautifully on the chin of you-know-who -- "and Bucky goes dowwwwn!!"

Each week Calhoun Kersten and Aaron Ruffcorn go head to head in a Box Office Challenge.

Who will win? Maybe you. Calhoun will be back Monday with the Box Office Review. Tune in to find out who wins.

We’ll take a look at the box office and see if we can’t nail the Number 1 film in the U.S. Whoever is closest, wins. But really, if they aren't within $2 million, it's not very impressive.

It’s harder than you think. If you don’t believe, let’s see what your answers are.

Calhoun Kersten's prediction for the weekend of September 9-11 …

1. Contagion ($21 Million)

Aaron Ruffcorn's prediction for the weekend of September 9-11 …

1. Contagion ($17 Million)

So what are your guess for the Number 1 movie at the box office this weekend?

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